This is a regional read for the whole Mornington Peninsula & Phillip Island coast of Victoria — global wave model with public buoys nearby to sanity-check it. Afternoons lean toward cross-shore winds (71%). Confidence is reasonable for the first 4 days and drops to "rough estimate" after that.
Board ranges below are each board's full min→max spectrum from the Quivr catalog — the same chart the app draws — and "fits" counts how many of this week's half-day windows a board's wave and power windows overlap. Nothing here is a guess about a particular beach.
Estimates come from a global ocean wave model sampled offshore and translated into ranges. Actual size varies from beach to beach along this stretch; sheltered spots run smaller. Reads describe the whole coast, not one break — check wind and tide at your spot before paddling out. Reads are refreshed weekly on this page and several times a day in the Quivr app, which also matches each day against the boards in your own quiver.
Day by day: Sep 22–28, 2026
Morning is 6am–noon, afternoon is noon–7pm local. Words come straight from the regional read; "No data" means the wave model had no hours for that window.
| Day | Morning | Afternoon | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Sep 22 | Overhead to double-overhead · solid push · light cross-shore wind | Overhead to double-overhead · solid push · light onshore wind | Fairly confident |
| Wed Sep 23 | Head- to overhead · moderate push · light wind | Head- to overhead · moderate push · light cross-shore wind | Fairly confident |
| Thu Sep 24 | Head- to overhead · moderate push · light wind | Head-high · moderate push · light cross-shore wind | Reasonable estimate |
| Fri Sep 25 | Chest- to head-high · moderate push · light offshore wind | Chest-high · moderate push · light onshore wind | Reasonable estimate |
| Sat Sep 26 | Head-high · moderate push · moderate onshore wind — likely bumpy | Head- to overhead · solid push · moderate cross-shore wind — some texture | Rough estimate |
| Sun Sep 27 | Overhead to double-overhead · solid push · light cross-shore wind | Overhead · moderate push · moderate cross-shore wind — some texture | Rough estimate |
| Mon Sep 28 | Head- to overhead · moderate push · light cross-shore wind | Chest- to head-high · moderate push · light cross-shore wind | Rough estimate |
Boards that fit the Mornington Peninsula & Phillip Island coast of Victoria this week
| Board | Fits | Wave size | Power | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haydenshapes Holy Hypto FutureFlex Mono Flame | 14 of 14 windows | Waist-high → double-overhead+ | Punchy | Intermediate to advanced |
| Haydenshapes Holy Hypto FutureFlex Plasma | 14 of 14 windows | Waist-high → double-overhead+ | Punchy | Intermediate to advanced |
| Proctor SR-71 | 14 of 14 windows | Chest-high → double-overhead+ | Punchy | Beginner-friendly to advanced |
| Roberts Black Cobra | 14 of 14 windows | Chest-high → double-overhead+ | Punchy | Intermediate to advanced |
| Proctor Surfboards Mendia | 14 of 14 windows | Chest-high → double-overhead+ | Punchy | Beginner-friendly to advanced |
| Lost / Mayhem Rock Up | 14 of 14 windows | Chest-high → double-overhead+ | Punchy | Intermediate to advanced |
| Proctor Surfboards El Pavote | 14 of 14 windows | Waist-high → double-overhead+ | Moderate | Beginner-friendly to intermediate |
The picks, in order
1. Haydenshapes Holy Hypto FutureFlex Mono Flame
Haydenshapes Holy Hypto FutureFlex Mono Flame runs waist-high to double-overhead+; that wave window overlaps every one of the 14 half-day windows we have data for this week. Its punchy power midpoint is firmer than the week's typical push, so it comes alive on the windows with more push. A performance shortboard with an intermediate to advanced skill window.
Quivr catalog read: The Holy Hypto is designed for everyday surfing, excelling in waist-high to 8ft waves.
Category: Performance shortboard · Catalog ability: intermediate
2. Haydenshapes Holy Hypto FutureFlex Plasma
Haydenshapes Holy Hypto FutureFlex Plasma runs waist-high to double-overhead+; that wave window overlaps every one of the 14 half-day windows we have data for this week. Its punchy power midpoint is firmer than the week's typical push, so it comes alive on the windows with more push. A hybrid with an intermediate to advanced skill window.
Quivr catalog read: The Holy Hypto is an all-around board that excels in a variety of conditions, from waist-high to 8-foot waves.
Category: Hybrid · Catalog ability: intermediate
3. Proctor SR-71
Proctor SR-71 runs chest-high to double-overhead+; that wave window overlaps every one of the 14 half-day windows we have data for this week. Its punchy power midpoint is firmer than the week's typical push, so it comes alive on the windows with more push. A performance shortboard with a beginner-friendly to advanced skill window.
Quivr catalog read: The SR-71 offers a responsive and agile ride, perfect for surfers looking to carve on rail.
Category: Performance shortboard · Catalog ability: intermediate · 4.0★ from 1 Quivr rating
4. Roberts Black Cobra
Roberts Black Cobra runs chest-high to double-overhead+; that wave window overlaps every one of the 14 half-day windows we have data for this week. Its punchy power midpoint is firmer than the week's typical push, so it comes alive on the windows with more push. A performance shortboard with an intermediate to advanced skill window.
Quivr catalog read: The Black Cobra excels in both everyday and bigger surf, offering a balance of speed and control.
Category: Performance shortboard · Catalog ability: intermediate
5. Proctor Surfboards Mendia
Proctor Surfboards Mendia runs chest-high to double-overhead+; that wave window overlaps every one of the 14 half-day windows we have data for this week. Its punchy power midpoint is firmer than the week's typical push, so it comes alive on the windows with more push. A performance shortboard with a beginner-friendly to advanced skill window.
Quivr catalog read: The Mendia is perfect for intermediate to advanced surfers looking for a high-performance board that excels in powerful waves.
Category: Performance shortboard · Catalog ability: intermediate
6. Lost / Mayhem Rock Up
Lost / Mayhem Rock Up runs chest-high to double-overhead+; that wave window overlaps every one of the 14 half-day windows we have data for this week. Its punchy power midpoint is firmer than the week's typical push, so it comes alive on the windows with more push. A step-up with an intermediate to advanced skill window.
Quivr catalog read: The Rock Up is designed for powerful, hollow surf, allowing for precise positioning and radical turns.
Category: Step-up · Pulled in tail · Catalog ability: intermediate
7. Proctor Surfboards El Pavote
Proctor Surfboards El Pavote runs waist-high to double-overhead+; that wave window overlaps every one of the 14 half-day windows we have data for this week. Its moderate power midpoint is firmer than the week's typical push, so it comes alive on the windows with more push. A performance shortboard with a beginner-friendly to intermediate skill window.
Quivr catalog read: The El Pavote is designed for surfers looking for speed and control in a variety of wave conditions.
Category: Performance shortboard · Catalog ability: beginner · 4.0★ from 1 Quivr rating
Best fit by shape this week
One board per shape, chosen by how many of this week's 14 windows its wave and power windows overlap. Only shapes that overlap at least half the week are listed.
| Shape | Board | Fits | Wave size | Power |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shortboard | Haydenshapes Holy Hypto FutureFlex Mono Flame | 14 of 14 windows | Waist-high → double-overhead+ | Punchy |
| Groveler | Aipa Big Boy Sting | 14 of 14 windows | Waist-high → double-overhead+ | Punchy |
| Fish | Brother Surfcrafts Long Fish | 14 of 14 windows | Waist-high → double-overhead+ | Moderate |
| Twin fin | STCY Bullet Twin | 14 of 14 windows | Waist-high → double-overhead+ | Moderate |
| Midlength | Brother Surfcrafts Long Fish | 14 of 14 windows | Waist-high → double-overhead+ | Moderate |
| Longboard | LoveMachine FM | 14 of 14 windows | Waist-high → double-overhead+ | Punchy |
| Step-up | Roberts Black Cobra | 14 of 14 windows | Chest-high → double-overhead+ | Punchy |
What this week asks of a board on the Mornington Peninsula & Phillip Island coast of Victoria
The week spreads from chest-high to double-overhead, so a single board with a wide wave window covers more sessions than a specialist. If you own two boards, split them: one for the smallest windows and one for the double-overhead ones.
Most windows read "moderate push" for push. A board's power midpoint tells you where it will feel alive: mellower boards on the softer windows, firmer boards when the push is there. The table shows each board's own midpoint so the call is yours.
Already own one of these?
Add it to your quiver in Quivr and the Home tab does this matching for you — every day, against your own boards, for the coast you pick. If none of your boards overlap a window, it says so rather than forcing a pick.
Shopping instead? Open two of the picks above in Compare and read the low end of the wave-size range first — on a chest-high week that decides whether a board gets used.
Compare these picks head to head
Live Quivr comparison pages for pairs in this list — same spectra, side by side:
FAQ
How big will the surf be on the Mornington Peninsula & Phillip Island coast of Victoria this week?
Across Sep 22–28, 2026 the regional read runs chest-high to double-overhead. The most size shows Tue Sep 22 afternoon, overhead to double-overhead (fairly confident); the smallest window is Fri Sep 25 afternoon, chest-high. Confidence is reasonable for the first 4 days and drops to "rough estimate" after that. Sheltered beaches along this stretch run smaller than the read.
Which surfboards fit the Mornington Peninsula & Phillip Island coast of Victoria this week?
Holy Hypto FutureFlex Mono Flame, Holy Hypto FutureFlex Plasma, SR-71 overlap the most of this week's 14 surf windows on catalog wave-size and power spectra; the shapes that fit best are performance shortboard, hybrid and step-up. Open any of them in Quivr to see the full range chart and compare two side by side.
Which day has the most size on the Mornington Peninsula & Phillip Island coast of Victoria?
Tue Sep 22 afternoon, overhead to double-overhead (fairly confident). Size builds Sat and Sun and eases Wed, Thu, Fri and Mon. Afternoons lean toward cross-shore winds (71%).
Does this apply to my exact spot?
No single spot is named or predicted here. The read describes the Mornington Peninsula & Phillip Island coast of Victoria as a whole — a stretch of coast facing roughly the same direction. Estimates come from a global ocean wave model sampled offshore and translated into ranges. Actual size varies from beach to beach along this stretch; sheltered spots run smaller. Reads describe the whole coast, not one break — check wind and tide at your spot before paddling out.
How often is this page updated?
Every week, with the same seven-day regional read the Quivr app shows on its Home tab. The app refreshes several times a day and also tells you which board in your own quiver fits each day.